Probability with one Joker

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advantage playe
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Re: Probability with one Joker

Post by advantage playe »

Well, being dealt ANY sequential any suit 10 to ace or ace to 10 would be to divide 311,875,200 by 4 or 8. I will guess 4 so just under 100 million to one apx. Is that about right or as an engineer once said , close enough.

advantage playe
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Post by advantage playe »

wait , is it 8 ??

advantage playe
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Post by advantage playe »

So, 50 million to one apx. ??

asteroid
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Post by asteroid »

For any suit:
1) If both the sequential and reverse sequential are considered, the divisor is 8. 311,875,200/8 is 38,984,400


2) For only the sequential under consideration, the divisor is 4. 311,875,200/4=77,968,800

onemoretry
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Post by onemoretry »

asteroid wrote:
Sat Apr 08, 2023 10:58 pm
So the chance of being dealt a sequential spade royal flush is 1 in 311,875,200 (120*2,598,960).
But, if you're willing to settle for any suit in either direction that reduces to only 1 in 38,984,400.

asteroid
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Post by asteroid »

onemoretry wrote:
Sun Apr 09, 2023 7:49 am
asteroid wrote:
Sat Apr 08, 2023 10:58 pm
So the chance of being dealt a sequential spade royal flush is 1 in 311,875,200 (120*2,598,960).
But, if you're willing to settle for any suit in either direction that reduces to only 1 in 38,984,400.
Please see item 1) in the post before yours.

onemoretry
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Post by onemoretry »

asteroid wrote:
Sun Apr 09, 2023 8:07 am
Please see item 1) in the post before yours.
Sorry about that - somehow I overlooked that post. At least, we agreed.

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