Help decide which play is better?
Posted: Tue Jun 10, 2025 5:01 pm
Hi gang, really respect everyone's opinions and experience on this board so thought I'd post a dilemma I'm currently facing...
My local casino recently started offering a promo on certain weeknights which results in a total slot club bonus of .934%
There are two games offered on certain "all-star" type machines that are candidates as advantage plays. They are as follows:
Option #1) $1 denomination - Double Super Times Pay - 3 Play - 10/6 Double Bonus Poker which I believe returns 99.39% for a total payback of 100.324%
I know that the single line version of this DSTP game has a variance listed at 69.144124 but I'm unsure how that scales up for the 3 play game and what that means in actual dollars of standard deviation for a 21 credit max bet.
Option #2) $1 denomination - Ultimate X - 3 Play - 7/5 Bonus Poker which I believe returns 99.28% for a total payback of 100.214%
I know that the single line version of this Ultimate X game has a variance listed at 35.512649 which is almost half of option #1, but I'm also unsure how that scales for the 3 play game and what that means in actual dollars of standard deviation for a 30 credit max bet.
Which of these would you choose and why? I'm looking for answers that include something about bankroll requirement, variance, standard deviation, volatility, strategy difficulty, etc. I'm primarily concerned about enduring really big swings and running out of money before being able to realize the advantage play.
For reference, and to relate to these other games, up until now I've typically only played $1 - 5 Play - Deuces Wild 9/15 @ 98.91%, a slightly losing game but mainly just for fun and an easy way to earn tier credits without risking losing too much.
Thanks all for your time and consideration and appreciate any education on the math and logic that you can provide!
My local casino recently started offering a promo on certain weeknights which results in a total slot club bonus of .934%
There are two games offered on certain "all-star" type machines that are candidates as advantage plays. They are as follows:
Option #1) $1 denomination - Double Super Times Pay - 3 Play - 10/6 Double Bonus Poker which I believe returns 99.39% for a total payback of 100.324%
I know that the single line version of this DSTP game has a variance listed at 69.144124 but I'm unsure how that scales up for the 3 play game and what that means in actual dollars of standard deviation for a 21 credit max bet.
Option #2) $1 denomination - Ultimate X - 3 Play - 7/5 Bonus Poker which I believe returns 99.28% for a total payback of 100.214%
I know that the single line version of this Ultimate X game has a variance listed at 35.512649 which is almost half of option #1, but I'm also unsure how that scales for the 3 play game and what that means in actual dollars of standard deviation for a 30 credit max bet.
Which of these would you choose and why? I'm looking for answers that include something about bankroll requirement, variance, standard deviation, volatility, strategy difficulty, etc. I'm primarily concerned about enduring really big swings and running out of money before being able to realize the advantage play.
For reference, and to relate to these other games, up until now I've typically only played $1 - 5 Play - Deuces Wild 9/15 @ 98.91%, a slightly losing game but mainly just for fun and an easy way to earn tier credits without risking losing too much.
Thanks all for your time and consideration and appreciate any education on the math and logic that you can provide!