Monthly Contest: answer to equipguy
Posted: Mon Aug 03, 2015 9:29 pm
“Two Royals in the first eight games. What are the odds?â€
Assuming you're playing Super Double Double Bonus, you will get a RF on average about once every 40,168 hands. The probability of getting exactly two RFs in 800 hands is:
(1/40168)^2 x (40167/40168)^798 x combin(800,2) = .00019419
so it should happen about once every 5,150 trials.
Now, if one percent of VP.com members plays the monthly contest, the probability of any one of them getting exactly two RFs in their first 800 hands is:
1 - (.99980581^3600) = .50299
so that should happen slightly more often than every other month.
Assuming you're playing Super Double Double Bonus, you will get a RF on average about once every 40,168 hands. The probability of getting exactly two RFs in 800 hands is:
(1/40168)^2 x (40167/40168)^798 x combin(800,2) = .00019419
so it should happen about once every 5,150 trials.
Now, if one percent of VP.com members plays the monthly contest, the probability of any one of them getting exactly two RFs in their first 800 hands is:
1 - (.99980581^3600) = .50299
so that should happen slightly more often than every other month.