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Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:16 am
by billryan
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:22 am
by billryan
I'd never heard of the Trafalger Group but reading their site was interesting. They don't base their polling on actual numbers. What they do is gather responses and then adjust them based on their belief that trump supporters are often reluctant to publicly express support. While their exact formula is not public, it appears they add 5-8% to trumps actual numbers.
Keep hope alive!
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:26 am
by billryan
Sec. of State Pompeo is set to release some new Hillary Clinton emails in the next week or two. This is horrible news for the Clinton campaign, and will almost certainly mean that Mrs. Clinton will not be our next President.
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 11:12 am
by advantage playe
thanks br glad to hear it wont be hillary ! Trump 2020 !!! IF it is the LORDS will !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 11:38 am
by felix
billryan: Trafalger is a Republican-affiliated group. Their polls are not generally considered as credible as some of the more traditional highly rated pollsters. Their polling work is frequently purchased by state or congressional Republican candidates who then offer up the numbers as evidence that their campaign has momentum.
wildman49: An interesting response, thank you. Biden has much higher personal favorability ratings than did Hillary Clinton in 2016, which makes a small amount of difference. But the single biggest difference is James Comey's October surprise in 2016, less than a week before the election. It is generally credited with giving Trump the very small bump he needed to squeak past Clinton in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Overall, however, he lost the 2016 general election by more than 3,000,000 votes. Point being, Trump did not win the general election in 2016 and he is running far worse in 2020. With all due respect to you, I feel very safe in predicting not just a Biden win, but a Biden win with a strong margin.
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:35 pm
by olds442jetaway
I still have hope being a lifelong conservative. It didn’t help at all that Trump said today the virus is quote disappearing end quote. Unfortunately the world is spiking again and much of the US as well. Of course world news tonight pounced on his statement
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 5:07 pm
by tech58
Feeding facts to the TDS"s sickos is a waste of time Wildman. The "only two to get it right" means nothing to them.They have never admitted they were wrong in 2016.
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Mon Oct 12, 2020 7:25 am
by felix
tech58 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 10, 2020 5:07 pm
Feeding facts to the TDS"s sickos is a waste of time Wildman. The "only two to get it right" means nothing to them.They have never admitted they were wrong in 2016.
I beg to differ. Most polls in 2016 were within the stated margin of error, and Clinton did, in fact, win as the polls said she would. The three states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin) that gave Trump his narrow Electoral College win even as he was losing the election by a fairly decisive margin, had a combined margin for Trump of less than 80,000 votes, well within the margin of error.
I wish you the very best of luck with the two polls you have placed your faith in for 2020! Be sure to stop in here on November 4 for breaking news.
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Mon Oct 12, 2020 10:46 am
by billryan
Please don't confuse tech with facts. He knows what he knows.
Re: With 24 days before the election.....
Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2020 4:51 pm
by tech58
He knows a fool when he sees one.
Be careful what you wish for lib's.
The impact of a socialist win in this election will be a dark age for America.
America is not a socialist country!! Socialism has failed in every trial of it down thru history!!
It is as Churchill stated "shared misery".
Transfer of wealth thru the tax system would stifle the free enterprise "Engine" that has provided the most good for the greatest number of people in the history of the world.
If you want the chaos of socialist run cities like we are seeing now to go nation wide Skamala will make you very happy (sleepy joe is just a sock-puppet bought and paid for by the sanders crowd).
Sadly i believe that the ignorance of the young voters,with brains turned to mush by the education system,has made this a very real possibility.
