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What are the odds?

Posted: Sat Jul 16, 2022 10:41 am
by wildman49
What are the odds on this 7 of clubs dropping in the same hole all 3 hands on a 3 card draw?
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Re: What are the odds?

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 12:15 am
by olds442jetaway
I could very well be wrong as my Stat knowledge is very rusty. My best guess is about one in 104,000 in round numbers.

Re: What are the odds?

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 7:41 am
by TripleTriple
That would be correct if it were a 1 card draw, but being a three card draw, much more unlikely. I'm getting 1 in 2,808,000 or 1 in 2,803,221 depending on how I set up the calculation. I too am a little stat rusty, so I'm not sure which one is right, if either...

Re: What are the odds?

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 8:19 am
by TripleTriple
Actually rereading the question, I think it's 1 in 934,407 since OP's question didn't specify which hole. It would be the longer odds in my previous post for the specific hole he posted. ? Anyone?

Re: What are the odds?

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 9:57 am
by wildman49
TripleTriple wrote:
Sun Jul 17, 2022 8:19 am
Actually rereading the question, I think it's 1 in 934,407 since OP's question didn't specify which hole. It would be the longer odds in my previous post for the specific hole he posted. ? Anyone?
Yes landing all in the 3rd hole. Was talking to another player he told me his sister got 4 Aces dealt in triple play DDB and pulled the 3 of hearts kicker in all 3 hands

Re: What are the odds?

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 6:06 pm
by Jstark
I've had cool ones like that before. The first one I hold KQJT and draw each of the remaining 10's. Second, I hold 55 and hit quads twice with both other 5's hitting in the exact same position (sadly it was Deuces Wild). And third, hold 2 pair and draw the 7 of diamonds three straight times.
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Re: What are the odds?

Posted: Mon Jul 18, 2022 11:15 am
by Jstark
One more. Back to back quads holding 555 and drawing the same 5 and 4 but in opposite order.
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