Video Poker Forum

Many VP players wonder, but do not know over time how often something happens. There is one very easy way to get the answer that takes less than a minute. Let’s say you want to know how often you have to wait in the long haul ( not short term ) to hit say a quad on JOB. Just google....Wizard of odds Jacks or Better video poker paytable....The site will come up and just scroll down to the paytable you are looking for. If is a 99.54 paytable, just divide the probability of the event which in this case is four of a kind into one and you will have your answer.
1 divided by .00236 = once every 424 hands in round numbers. I don’t have Bob Ds book, but my guess is the various paytables may be in it as well. If somebody knows, just add the info to this post.

one in 423.27 hands playing optimal strategy. I just looked it up at my win poker.

If you go to the Wizard's game analyzer, you can skip the division step, as the analyzer shows the frequency of all the possible outcomes.

Thanks OMT

Just remember that even if this probability shakes out on your trip, you will still be a loser if you increase your denomination halfway through. In my case, a flat bust. I hope that I can save such antics until five minutes before departure.

FAA wrote: ↑

Fri Mar 19, 2021 2:50 pm

......you will still be a loser if you increase your denomination halfway through.

Not likely if you happen to hit a royal after upping the denomination.

Yep, that's the denomination motivation. But a spectacular flame out remains the most likely outcome.