Offer to Fa La La La La.... La la la la: Results (5th card flip)

[cddenver]

CD, sounds like you're playing both sides of this phenomena. Weren't you selling those famous tin foil caps that protected us from abduction. Now it appears you've moved on. It's almost like the hot/cold cycle -> flip-over transformation. Have you been taking lessons? 


 
SM, how many times do I have to tell you to "get your facts straight!"  There are clearly two different models involved.
 

 
The first photo is of my popular SUCR-101 model for use in casinos, to stop cold cycles in their tracks.  This is one of my top sellers - I see people in casinos wearing these quite often, and I'm sure all of you do too.  This comes with a 40% of the purchase price refund if not completely satisfied (hey, it's more than "that other guy" guarantees!).  Cool shades not included.  My recent research shows that onsite hat "tweaks" may be necessary for each machine, so I'll do that in person for an additional fee.  You pay, we play.  I thought about posting the "tweak" tips on my website for free, but I found it just ate into my profits.
 
The guy in the second photo opted for the inexpensive Alien Abduction model SUCR-102.  I remember that guy.  After his abduction he complained that he wanted his money back because the hat didn't work.  Duh! I told him that he got what he paid for, and if he didn't want to be abducted he should get my top of the line Alien Abduction Prevention model SUCR-102a.  He grumbled a bit, then went ahead and bought one.  He was my favorite kind of mark - more money than brains, and a repeater to boot.  I was even able to rook him for one of my "just in case" survival pack options.  I think the one he picked was a year's supply of Slim Jims, chew, and corn cobs for surviving the long interstellar journey.  What a maroon!  I haven't seen him around for quite a while, I hope he comes back for more.
 
These products and 1702 others are available from my own ALR Enterprises corporation.  I don't bother with catalogs, I just keep 'em all in my head.  The products all meet state regulations for tin apparel - by that I don't mean the published regulations that my competitors comply with, but the real ones set by the Nevada Tin Hat Commission and my buddies "up there".  The first time I saw those real regulations I thought that it was kind of strange to put illegal regulations in writing in case someone talked, but then I was told it was done because to be considered legal illegal regulations they have to be in writing.  Otherwise they'd just be illegal illegal regulations and wouldn't mean anything.  Government at work, I guess.
 
Anyone interested in more information can PM me.
 

[oej719]

Now Cd if that don't get you a mention in the rats e-letter soon then he is a bigger bozo that I figured, or just a plain ole coward.

[cddenver]

Now Cd if that don't get you a mention in the rats e-letter soon then he is a bigger bozo that I figured, or just a plain ole coward.


 
I probably shouldn't say this, but since it's just you and me here (shhh!) he's one of my better customers - he's bought both hats, with the optional propellor on both! 

[shadowman]

I'm sure that was easy sale. All you had to do is demonstrate that one propeller cycles in the "hot" direction while the other cycles in the "cold" direction. I bet this is why he claimed to be able to detect which cycle a machine was in.

[New2vp]

Well, it's time to let the rest of the forum in on something that cddenver and I have been kicking around for a while.  We all know that there is considerable evidence that Fa La La La La.... La la la la's flipover statistics were simply made up.  Some, who we've dubbed "reflections" doubt the evidence, but it remains nevertheless (I love that term, first immortalized by Eduardo in his famous Art series titled Hand holding Mirror with Toupee, and then first verbalized, I believe by cddenver as "reflections."  It's so much more descriptive than "aliases," because it doesn't matter whether or not the posts are actually penned by Fa La La La La.... La la la la.)Imagine you were running the experiment that Fa La La La La.... La la la la claimed to.  It would be a simple task to count the opportunities and the number of flipovers from those opportuntities.  When you reported about same, it wouldn't be too difficult to quote the numbers and their ratio.Let's examine the Fa La La La La.... La la la la columns on this subject.In his April 7 column, he states "I’ve played and documented the testing results from 30,000 hands" and  "the actual result is running nearly EIGHT TIMES that!" with "that" referring to what the math says "a little over 6% of the time", which he makes more precise at 6.38% in the May 5 column.  3/47 rounds to 6.38%.  "EIGHT TIMES" 6.38% would be 51.04%, so we can presume that Fa La La La La.... La la la la's experiment produced flipovers that numbered nearly 51.04% or at least 47.5% (since 7.5 is the lowest multiple that one could claim was "nearly eight times" 6.38%).Here he did NOT say how many opportunities or flipovers he had AND he proclaimed that he was 2/3 done with his experiment, so we could reasonably presume that he figured he needed 45,000 hands to complete for his own reasons.  We know that it takes far fewer hands to support a conclusion of nonrandomness...if one actually did the study.Well, we should have expected 45,000 hands since Fa La La La La.... La la la la always, always does what he says...because....uh, because....well, because he says so.On May 5, the study was completed with "40,000 hands played, 4688 opportunities, with 2211 flip-overs. I’m running at 42.7%".I wondered why there would be a drop-off so I determined that the number of flips must have been only 27-28 during hands 30001 to 40000 to support a number like 42.7%.  Certainly if someone initially was running at nearly 51% and now they were running at 27%, they would have noticed a rate that was nearly 1/2 of what it had been because there was no mention of that.  But what really happened is that either Fa La La La La.... La la la la was dyslexic, because his new numbers support 47.2% or, he'll probably claim, that his typesetter messed up the fraction and it was nearly 50% still.  Oh, and instead of EIGHT TIMES, he now reports SEVEN TIMES.Now, we move onto Webman's test at 6.1% and my criticism of it indicating the long odds of even 40% flipovers in a bona fide test. In his June 16 column, he has reported my number of 40% and over SIX TIMES (not the results of his own experiment, but that of my criticism.)  He repeats the 40% figure as based on 40000 hands in an August newsletter he sends out to those who signed up.I wanted to trap him and ask him anonymously to support the 40% figure with specific flipover statistics, so we could see if he would use the same figures as in his May 5 column.But cd had a better idea.  He said, "Let's bring his attention to the difference and see how he deals with it!  Why the two numbers, 40% and 50%"  Well, cd was right and Fa La La La La.... La la la la took the bait.Fa La La La La.... La la la la said, "The 40% figure is from actually testing at the machines and writing down the data."So, he didn't look back and see his error, even when prompted, but then again, what did he have to look back it...since the 40,000-hand study was never done, with nearly 100% certainty.Let the reflections spin.  And thanks cd for your help.  

[oej719]

rs is a fraud and scammer, and a piss poor one at that.

[cddenver]

rs is a fraud and scammer, and a piss poor one at that.



 
No argument there, he's got a terrible patter in terms of consistency & the number of holes in it in general.  There's lots of room for improvement. 
 
All of the work done by people from all over that was necessary to shoot down the "flip" theory was done in the first week or so after he came out with it.   Since then, we've just been bouncing the rubble higher.  It still twicks me that so many people in different places have put in real time and real effort to debunk a virtual experiment.  No one's been forced to, of course, but I think RS just smirks at that when the only time and effort he's put into it are the mentions of his "results" now and again in articles and e-letters.
 
I think he began writing about "flips" at the beginning of the year.  If we ignore the illegalities and impracticalities of it for a moment, those who implemented it would have long since replaced that particular rig or flaw with something less detectable once they saw that he'd uncovered it.   It's ludicrous to think those responsible would have stuck with the same thing this long after being found out.
 
For many months he was claiming pretty consistent "flip" numbers (40%-50%).  After the test with WM he suddenly began claiming much more variation.  I think that's his way of signalling that he's about to announce some sort of end game for "flips" and move on to something else.  Of course, it could just be a coincidence. 
 
New2vp just pointed out more errors and inconsistencies that RS has in his own numbers.  To me that's just more proof that he never had any real ones to begin with.  He just decided to hang his hat on "flips" for a while, so any numbers involved are of little importance.
 

[Tedlark]

  What would happen if some smart person here, or a combination of smart people, distributed a newsletter that rebutted rs and his? I imagine Eduardo as Art Director, cd as Editor in Chief, New2vp as Content Editor and then a whole bunch of us as Contributors? Could be fun.

[oej719]

I like that idea.

[cddenver]

  What would happen if some smart person here, or a combination of smart people, distributed a newsletter that rebutted rs and his?



 
Eduardo might not be available.  I heard that he will be busy touring for the next six months with the complete "Hand Holding Mirror" collection.  Look for it at your nearest art museum. 
 
The newsletter would be a nice thing to do if we had his mailing list.  Then we could issue corrections to his articles and mailings when they come out.    I think he mentions us enough in his writings that anyone interested in the truth would just come over here anyway.  But it might still be a nice thing to do, putting out dubunking in a more organized form than the posts, where things often get jumbled up and those nasty reflections keep butting in.
 
What I'd be willing to help with would be a blog for oej.  Here we have to be prim, proper, and refined. ()  Over there we'd be able to let our hair down and pull no punches.  Really tell it like it is.