$670K RF

Did you hit any jackpots? Did you get a great comp? We all want to know!
spxChrome
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Joined: Tue Nov 07, 2006 9:21 pm

$670K RF

Post by spxChrome »

Not mine but still pretty to look at:
 

mightwin
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Joined: Mon Dec 01, 2008 4:24 pm

Post by mightwin »

Very pretty. Was this a $100 machine?  (Flash right in the way) Betcha this wasn't counted out in cash in public.... 

spxChrome
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Joined: Tue Nov 07, 2006 9:21 pm

Post by spxChrome »

Yes $100 machine $500 a spin at the Aria, LV.

backsider
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Post by backsider »



I read somewhere, maybe on vpfree, that this guy is a professional poker player and was looking for some kind of hiroller action in between games. Chances are that $670000 has already been dispersed among several casinos.

outoforder77
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Post by outoforder77 »

This is definitely the winnings of poker pro Huck Seed.  He was down $50,000 on the same machine before hitting the jackpot.

BillyJoe
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Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:00 pm

Post by BillyJoe »

Isn't an 8/5 Bonus Poker only a 99.17% return? Is that the best game that he could find at Aria?

Eduardo
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Post by Eduardo »



Yes he should return that 670,000 and ask to play a better returning game.

New2vp
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Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2006 4:02 am

Post by New2vp »



Isn't an 8/5 Bonus Poker only a 99.17% return? Is that the best game that he could find at Aria? There might not have been too many other games paying an expected $1,955 per hour + meter rise (at a steady rate of 600 hands per hour).I would be interested if anyone knew how fast the meter was rising.  I suppose 1/2% might be a reasonable number, but that would not account for the 60 cents on the winning jackpot, since 1/2% would add $2.50 for each play.  The excess over a $400,000 reset is $270,665.60.  If you actually see the jackpot increase from play to play, you could easily calculate the percentage of meter rise.  Just divide the increment by the $500 per play.  If the jackpot is increasing by a constant figure, we can look at what is called prime number factorization to determine reasonable guesses by seeing what numbers divide evenly into $270,665.60.  That excess can be factored in dimes in prime numbers to 2^5 * 41 * 2063.  Because there are relatively few factors, there are not too many possibilities for a constant amount to be added to the meter.Candidates:








Meter
rise
Increment
# of Plays
Avg Jackpot
Cyc. Lngth
Cycles
EV in %


0.16%
 $         0.80
      
338,332
 $   
432,092
40115.02
   8.43
99.33


0.32%
 $         1.60
      
169,166
 $   
462,232
38894.73
   4.35
99.48


0.64%
 $         3.20
        
84,583
 $   
516,656*
36454.98
   2.32
99.77


0.82%
 $         4.10
        
66,016
 $   
547,540
35985.46
   1.83
99.94

Meter rise is the percentage of each bet that is added to the progressive jackpot.  Increment is the increase as each play occurs; # of plays is the number of plays since the last royal at which this one was hit.  Average jackpot assumes a strategy that is played as if the average jackpot were always present.  Then the cycle length is the number of plays on average between royals when playing that strategy.  Cycles is the number of cycles that this particular jackpot went without hitting.If this were a particularly large jackpot for this machine, perhaps the 2nd row is most likely.  Certainly if non-constant amounts were added to the machine other possibilities exist.And, as I said, if anyone could actually observe the increments as they occur on this machine, the "mystery" could easily be solved.*When calculating these figures, there is an iterative process that usually converges to a single number.  In this case, there was oscillation between $516,211 and $517,101 instead of convergence; so I used an average midway between these two.             

spxChrome
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Joined: Tue Nov 07, 2006 9:21 pm

Post by spxChrome »

This is definitely the winnings of poker pro Huck Seed.  He was down $50,000 on the same machine before hitting the jackpot.
 
I read he bought a $40,000 ticket to feed into the machine, never heard that he had to guy buy another one.
 
I have seen this machine last time I was in Vegas and it was barely over $412,000 and that was last year this month. 

jim18
Senior Member
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Joined: Fri Mar 04, 2011 9:55 am

Post by jim18 »

I can’t help feeling happy for whomever won so much money.  Still, this topic has generated a few questions for me to share with you.1.  When playing $100 machine, and $500 per deal, would a player spend so much time per hour loading the machine with bills that the number of hands played per hour would be low?  I realize that this was not the case with this winner, due to him buying a ticket.2.  With $100 per credit, how many times per hour would a player get a hand pay?  How many hands per hour can a player play under those conditions?Once I hit the Power Ball Lottery I will need to have the answers to these questions.  In the meantime I will set on the front porch and watch the grass grow!

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