MARKETS,Anybody even yet?

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wildman49
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Re: MARKETS,Anybody even yet?

Post by wildman49 »

Been looking over what has been my best trader and I the biggest bulk of my YTD profit is in trading BITO. Sometimes I think I should forget the other junk and stick to what's working.

dinghy
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Post by dinghy »

wildman49 wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 8:00 am
If we can get GOLD to run to 4000 an OZ. NUGT might hit 100 easy.
Near-term, I like my miners even if gold remains stuck in neutral at 3300.

GDX fund flows have been horrific.

https://etfdb.com/etf/GDX/#fund-flows

Image

No one of substance is holding or even looking at the miners. Everyone inclined to sell has already done so.
wildman49 wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 8:03 am
Been looking over what has been my best trader and I the biggest bulk of my YTD profit is in trading BITO. Sometimes I think I should forget the other junk and stick to what's working.
I guess I'm a trader by necessity. I don't set out to trade actively, but I regularly see moves that don't make sense, and I have to react.

I think my biggest individual moneymaker this year has been SBSW. It's nearly a triple off the February lows, and I've further juiced my returns by trading the fluctuations. I still like the prospects for platinum, but I've sharply reduced my share count. I just can't like the stock as much near $9 as I did at 3.

TripleTriple
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Post by TripleTriple »

O Great Wise One- dost thou seeth any plays in the pharma/biotech sector?

dinghy
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Post by dinghy »

TripleTriple wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 12:13 pm
O Great Wise One- dost thou seeth any plays in the pharma/biotech sector?
Olds should be back shortly. While he's away, my only such holdings are BAX, XBI and UNH.

BAX has been a severe laggard. Unfortunately I can't remember why I own it.

XBI looks cheap compared to most other sectors, but it's had a bit of a rebound along with everything else.

I wrote here about UNH as I was buying it, but it was somewhat of a blind stab. It's still cheap by some measures. I guess it's not technically pharma or biotech, but I may not know the difference :oops: .

olds442jetaway
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Post by olds442jetaway »

Hey TT……I’m definitely not the Great wise one, but I’m not really into that pharma sector. Not really into biotech either. Mostly holing dividend plays to keep the income stream coming, natural resources similar to Dinghy, and a few Mortgage stocks. My 403b does have the mag 7 in it, but my every day acct is the above and similar to Buffett cash. One note….if Trump fires Powell and gets his own people in there, bad for cash and CDs which will go to 0-2percent IMO. Not sure how the market would react, but probably up after a short term panic. Like Wildman says, the Buffett retiring scenario is still taking its toll on Berkshire, that I started acquiring in the beginning of the slide.

olds442jetaway
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Post by olds442jetaway »

One final note. EXEL has already made a big run in 2025. From what I read, it’s listed as fairly valued. For the most part, I stick with dividend stocks paying over 4 percent. The big downside of course is you are taxed in the year the dividend is paid. I will dump on minimal gains sometimes and dump the losers for a tax writeoff, buying back after the 30 day wash rule at the cheaper price as long as they haven’t cut the dividend.

dinghy
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Post by dinghy »

olds442jetaway wrote:
Thu Jul 17, 2025 7:49 pm
if Trump fires Powell and gets his own people in there, bad for cash and CDs which will go to 0-2percent IMO.
Don't ignore the currency. Trump's smokescreen issue is tariffs, but his underlying concern is trade deficits and US manufacturing. His objectives require a weak dollar.

I think the top stock market this year is this one:

Image

Oh, but how's the currency doing?

Image

That means it's crashing against the dollar. Officially. They probably have black market rates and stuff.

My point is, it's possible the US market could rise while losing real value because it's denominated in Monopoly money.

olds442jetaway
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Post by olds442jetaway »

Interesting. The tariff stuff is far from over that’s for sure.

olds442jetaway
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Joined: Tue Aug 21, 2007 9:08 pm

Post by olds442jetaway »

This penny stock I bought is starting to take off. New explorations in BC. Promising. I’m up 20 percent, but leaning toward holding for a better run. Any thoughts?
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