Why did you win?

Talk about your new shoes, new car, or UFO's!
mightwin
Senior Member
Posts: 195
Joined: Mon Dec 01, 2008 4:24 pm

Why did you win?

Post by mightwin »

I mean for this post to ask for people’s opinions.  Because your own opinion cannot be wrong, no answer is “wrong”. 

I would like to know if you think you won because the
machine called out to you, or it was the perfect paytable.

 

Was it your lucky rabbit’s foot or the right machine at the
right time?

 

Did you have a “feeling” or that particular machine was
shining brighter?

 

Was it because the credits paid (to the last player) was
zero or it was your favorite machine?



backsider
VP Veteran
Posts: 578
Joined: Sun May 08, 2011 11:35 pm

Post by backsider »



The relatively few times Ive won, it was because I was at the right machine at the right time. Same for everyone. Because of my crummy results i never feel I have a machine thats shining bright on me. I swear even if Bob Dancer were in my shoes hed be way behind lifetime if he ran into the machines Ive run into, 5 extra credits here or there or not.

Taurus
Forum Rookie
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Joined: Sat May 23, 2009 10:29 pm

Post by Taurus »

Hi Mightwin, I was in Vegas last weekend and hit a royal.  I usually hit a RF about every third or fourth trip (I play single line $.25 FPDW & DDB), and this time was no different.  I feel that I hit it because I was playing a game that I could get the most hands out of my bankroll as well as playing near to perfect strategy which brought me to my goal of the RF.  In short, I only care about the paytable and if I know the strategy. Good question - I'm interested in seeing the responses.  Thanks!

Lucky Larry
Video Poker Master
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Joined: Sat Dec 13, 2008 7:35 pm

Post by Lucky Larry »

mightwin,
My belief is that winning is a matter of - "the luck of your timing with the RNG".

And, like Taurus I believe I can increase my chances of a lucky hit by taking a few positive actions.
1) playing higher return and lower volatile games which hopefully let me stay around until "luck" hits
2) playing hands correctly and skillfully
3) playing in a positive frame of mind
4) listening to my premonitions (of course I usually only remember those premonitions that lead to winners)

I'm looking forward to the responses as well.

BTW: Did you and kjohn get a chance to meet last weekend?

shadowman
Video Poker Master
Posts: 3587
Joined: Mon Oct 23, 2006 5:42 pm

Post by shadowman »

Play positive games with optimal strategy ... and find the most comfortable machine that meets that criteria. 

onemoretry
Video Poker Master
Posts: 3050
Joined: Tue Mar 03, 2009 8:00 pm

Post by onemoretry »

........... 5 extra credits here or there or not.


But, those 5 credits "here or there" do add up.  Playing at a rather leisurely pace of 450 hands per hour, with fullhouses and flushes shorted by 5 credits each, results in about a 50 credit per hour shortfall.  Play 100 hours a year?  The annual shortfall would be about  5000 credits, which, obviously, is more than one royal flush.  To me, that's not insignificant.
 
My answer to the question: "Why did you win?" is: because I happened to be lucky enough to be the person playing the machine when it delivered a large jackpot.
 
There is no way to guarantee a good result from a playing session, no matter what the pay scale is.  But, playing a greater number of hands does increase one's chances of hitting a big one.
 
Playing poor pay scales using inferior strategies virtually ensures that a session will be shorter, and the chances of hitting a large jackpot will be less. 

brmcc74
Senior Member
Posts: 295
Joined: Wed Dec 30, 2009 7:19 pm

Post by brmcc74 »

There is no way to guarantee a good result from a playing session, no matter what the pay scale is.  But, playing a greater number of hands does increase one's chances of hitting a big one.
 
 
This is not true. Each hand is random and therefore independant of any previous or future hands, which doesnt increase any chances of hitting a big one. Depending on how the RNG reacts, this could be detrimental to your BKRL. Not trying to get technical here 1moretry but Im just pointing out a fact about the randomness that everybody worships.
 
 
 
Again, Im not a Pro

onemoretry
Video Poker Master
Posts: 3050
Joined: Tue Mar 03, 2009 8:00 pm

Post by onemoretry »


 
This is not true. Each hand is random and therefore independant of any previous or future hands, which doesnt increase any chances of hitting a big one
  
Again, Im not a Pro
I agree that the chance of hitting, for example, a royal flush, does not change from deal to deal.  So, playing more hands does not increase one's likelihood of getting one on any particular deal.
 
However, I think it's intuitively quite obvious that the person who has plays 10,000 hands in a session is more likely to have a royal flush somewhere in that session than a person whose session is 100 hands.

mightwin
Senior Member
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Joined: Mon Dec 01, 2008 4:24 pm

Post by mightwin »

I'll blame my 4 aces with a cute kicker win yesterday on my getting all dolled up.  Curled my hair and put on full makeup, and wore a better outfit, not just jeans and one of my Harley shirts.  Or maybe it was my "I'm going to win" (darn it) attitude. The 4 aces were dealt.  I stared at those for a minute or two and asked the machine nicely for a 2, 3, or 4 - even added a pretty please.  I thanked the machine after the 4 fell into place. On a vacation once I won at everything I tried, even got my first royal that trip - and it was a progressive.  My first try at roulette, I picked the winning number straight up, twice.  My first and second spin.  This was a trip that was planned way in advance, but my Mom died the month before.  I felt like my Mom and Dad were hovering with me on that trip, making sure I had a good time.  Dad had to be helping Mom, because she wouldn't have know which I card I needed for a winning hand at video poker. My next vacation, someone suggested I go to the same machines and try again.  That didn't work. Because I live in Las Vegas now, I've discovered that I win more often at some casinos, but not at some of my favorites.  I don't think that "they" have tightened the machines.  I think that it just wasn't my lucky moment or day. On another note - I did go to the M and circled the triple play machines like a vulture.  I was out there from 9:30 to 11:45 but did not find Kjohn.  I think a few of the players that watched me circling might have felt that I was stalking someone.  I was looking forward to meeting her, but missed her.  Maybe the next time.

OKathyO
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Post by OKathyO »

Hey Mightwin....See you again at the meet and greet in October? 
 
I always play the same machines when I go to Vegas.  I do think they're "my lucky machines" even though we know that's not the case.  But i do it anyways! 
 
Also, I do believe attitude and how you're feeling that day comes in to play as well.  If you had a bad day, and decide to plop some money into a machine, and get a negative result...well it's not going to make ones mood better!  When feeling good, like when I get my nails done, and that red polish looks awesome flying across that screen and I had a losing session, I can still stand up and say, well at least my nails look good! 

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