Scoreboard

Discuss proper hold strategies and "advantage play" and ask questions about how to improve your play.
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shadowman
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Posts: 3587
Joined: Mon Oct 23, 2006 5:42 pm

Re: Scoreboard

Post by shadowman »

I wonder how these results would fair using Benford's law? This is a test that can check just for the liklihood that the numbers were made up. It looks at the digits themsleves to see whether they are random. I have a suspicion that Joe's numbers just might fail.

cddenver
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Joined: Tue Mar 13, 2007 9:54 pm

Post by cddenver »

I wonder how these results would fair using Bendford's law? This is a test that can check just for the liklihood that the numbers were made up. It looks at the digits themsleves to see whether they are random. I have a suspicion that Joe's numbers just might fail.
 
Has this already been pointed out?  Take the view that all of the different kinds of tinkering and errors that were spotted in "Joe"'s simulation numbers over the last week or so would carry over to what he reports from his real play.  Well, oej points it out all the time.   Where there's smoke, there's fire.  On his friend's site there's no way to challenge reported results; Joe's friend can report his numbers and then move on to something else.  Joe tried that here and was caught.
 
It's not even necessary to invent real session results, just report the "best of the best" and then pass those results on as typical instead of  favorable exceptions.   The latter case could be considered just half-fibbing.   It's more difficult to check those because Joe's friend doesn't provide much information from real play other than favorable end results.

rolanddude
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Post by rolanddude »

New2vp,Thanks for analyzing the multi line strategy.  It really does help to have all the facts to obtain a "reliability" factor when analyzing anything.  As for coin in...I start each level with 2000 credits.  I don't pay as I go.  So all sessions will have even coin in figures such as $100 up front any time nickels are played, $500 up front -- quarters, $2000 up front for dollars.  That is why in my notes I refer to the progression history.  (.05, .25, .05, .25, $1=$3200.....05, .25, $1=$2600 and so on.)  My buy in is not random so it will not produce random results.  It is easier to keep up with all gains or losses when starting each level with all the credits in the machine.  Now that this issue is cleared up...it still seems to be a good approach doesn't it?  Playing on a 98.98% machine and still average such a small loss according to your 500 sims...That's a big WOW!! to me.  Just how much better would it out perform AP on even better paying machines?Now as for personal info on MySpace...should I put my Social # up too or maybe passwords to my lines of credit for online banking?  I'm not going to put up degrees, status, look-at-me-I'm-better-than-yous, and the such on that kind of webpage.  Those things look better framed in my office.  As far as hiring...qualifications out the ass have never impressed me near as much as what someone can show me on my sales floor or relating to our older clientele.  And for the classically trained musician of the room...our students didn't have to work as hard as you to learn to play...but they play, have fun, and just don't really care for "high brow" music as much as some may.  When they sit and play it is more likely for a party to break out instead of maybe a wine tasting competition or whatever they use classical music for nowadays... !Thanks to all that have emailed me so far...you know who y'all are. I won't tell on ya.  Keep 'em coming happy to help.  Doesn't hurt to at least try to win more does it...Later,Joe

royal flush
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Post by royal flush »

you should go gold status that webman will loan you all the credits you need as playing games below 100% will in the long run insure losing results and at $60 per year it will save you thousands over real casinos because webman can not give you 10000 credits each time you lose yours

rolanddude
Senior Member
Posts: 344
Joined: Mon Mar 31, 2008 11:01 pm

Post by rolanddude »


Here are 3 more sessions played last night and this morning...winners all...











Five-Play Video Poker Session Results





















Using
Multi-Line Play Strategy (.05, .25, $1)2000cr/level DDB 9/6 Session Goal $100
- Bankroll $2,600/session for Carter results




Expert
AP Nickels Sessions Goal $100 - Bankroll $300 / session (2000 credits X 3)






Expert
AP Quarters Session Goal $100 - Bankroll $1,500 / session (2000 credits X
3)"STOP PLAY AFTER +$100 ACHIEVED"




Expert
AP Dollars Session Goal  $100 -
Bankroll $6,000 / session (2000 credits X 3) "STOP PLAY AFTER +$100
ACHIEVED"













 Without Stop 
 Without Stop 


Session 
Hands 
Cash In
Cash Out
Carter
 "Expert" AP .05 
 "Expert" AP .25 
 "Expert" AP $ 1 
NOTES
 "Expert" AP .25 
 "Expert" AP $ 1 


1
1887
 $ 3,200.00

 $   3,744.25
 $    544.25
 $   (206.50)
 $(1,032.50)
 $  (4,130.00)
Progression-.05,.25,.05,.25,$1(Quad Aces)
 $   (1,032.50)
 $  (4,130.00)


2
1678
 $ 2,600.00

 $   2,843.25
 $    243.25
 $     (10.00)
 $   202.50
 $     245.00
Prog.-.05,.25,$1: Expert .25,$1Stopped LV1
 $      (552.50)
 $  (2,210.00)


3
1418
 $ 2,600.00

 $   4,805.75
 $
2,205.75
 $     87.75
 $    141.25
 $     275.00
.05,.25,$1 (QuadA/kick)(QuadA's)--Exp .25,$1 stopped LV1)
 $        (61.25)
 $     (245.00)


4
186
 $    100.00
 $      208.00
 $     108.00
 $   108.00
 $   100.75
 $     190.00
Played only nickels…All ways reached goal in Level 1
 $       540.00
 $   2,160.00


5
1182
 $    100.00
 $      203.00
 $     103.00
 $   103.00
 $   102.50
 $     225.00
Played only nickels…All ways reached goal in Level 1
 $       515.00
 $   2,060.00


6
1062
 $    700.00
 $      807.00
 $     107.00
 $     (26.00)
 $   (130.00)
 $     225.00
Prog. .05, .25, .05 Expert $1 stopped LV1
 $      (130.00)
 $     (520.00)


7

   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
   


8

   
   
   
   
   
   
 
   
   




 $ 9,300.00
 $ 12,611.25
 $ 
3,311.25
 $    
56.25
 $ 
(615.50)
 $(2,970.00)

 $    
(721.25)
 $(2,885.00)

Please forgive all the even numbers ... 2140 nickels are only $107 even and etc. I could have maybe fudged them to show some variance or randomness...I decided not to though best to keep it pure....I'm on a roll watch out... !Joe

royal flush
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Joined: Fri Nov 10, 2006 12:50 pm

Post by royal flush »

you must walk on the sea of galilee because playing below 100% ev games must produce losses

oej719
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Posts: 1777
Joined: Wed Sep 06, 2006 5:46 pm

Post by oej719 »

Thanks for all the Pm's you know who you are I won't tell.
Most see the wizard as the scam it is.
Thanks

faygo
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Posts: 2925
Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2007 6:55 am

Post by faygo »

We interrupt this scientific programming to bring you a Hit from the past: "I am your puppet"
 

 
Carry on.

oej719
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Joined: Wed Sep 06, 2006 5:46 pm

Post by oej719 »

A recent photo of the WIZARD of artt. Complete with tats.

cddenver
Video Poker Master
Posts: 2269
Joined: Tue Mar 13, 2007 9:54 pm

Post by cddenver »

A recent photo of the WIZARD of artt. Complete with tats.
 
I hadn't noticed the tats.     I just told faygo that I'll be calling him oej, jr., for that one.
 
With that honker he must have to use a straw with his beverages.  Is that a nickel in his right hand?  And notice the slight metallic sheen to his hat.

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