"IF YOU BELIEVE IT'S RIGGED, WHY PLAY?"

Discuss proper hold strategies and "advantage play" and ask questions about how to improve your play.
Post Reply
jetermacaw
VP Veteran
Posts: 932
Joined: Fri Nov 09, 2012 9:04 am

Re: "IF YOU BELIEVE IT'S RIGGED, WHY PLAY?"

Post by jetermacaw »

Every machine I play in AC I’m consistently dealt a QQ or a QQ opportunity, except the actual QQ machines. Last week playing Super Triple Play, was dealt 3 7s, 3, 4, thru the 3,4 and got 6,1. Next hand,dealt full house 3 10s 2 5s. Next hand 6,6,2,4. Goes on like that on every machine except QQs. I don’t play QQS any more and all the old regulars have followed suit. Some of the real big 7* players that fly in still pound away with terrible results. Been a blessing for me because I’m having decent results playing other machines but it was hard lesson.

asteroid
Senior Member
Posts: 191
Joined: Wed Dec 29, 2010 10:36 am

Post by asteroid »

Interesting stuff Jetermacaw, thanks.

Eduardo
Video Poker Master
Posts: 2963
Joined: Thu Aug 31, 2006 7:19 pm

Post by Eduardo »

Yes, interesting. I don't doubt you've had a fair number of QQ hands on non-QQ machines. It happens. I do doubt that it's an inordinate amount due to machine changes. The whole reason that game was invented is because we notice hands like that.

As I've done with others, if you really believe things aren't as they should be, I encourage you to document it properly, perhaps with the help of other players. That could be worth millions!

Of course, when I have suggested this to other people, they've always decided it's better to continue losing money on machines they feel are rigged instead of retiring comfortably with millions of dollars. Interesting.

What sort of documentation would it take? It wouldn't take you long to figure that out. But for millions of dollars I'm not going to do your homework for you. :lol: I'd gladly help out, except I feel it would be a complete waste of time and only show that the machines are as fair as we'd all hope them to be.

I never see advantage players coming up with these theories, and they have the most on the line if machines behaved in any way out of the ordinary. Interesting.

jetermacaw
VP Veteran
Posts: 932
Joined: Fri Nov 09, 2012 9:04 am

Post by jetermacaw »

Eduardo I took the advice others have been saying, I just don’t play them anymore. A couple years ago you had to know God to get on one of the 4 machines, they are virtually empty now except for an occasional tourist.

asteroid
Senior Member
Posts: 191
Joined: Wed Dec 29, 2010 10:36 am

Post by asteroid »

Eduardo wrote:
Tue Sep 10, 2019 2:00 pm
Yes, interesting. I don't doubt you've had a fair number of QQ hands on non-QQ machines. It happens. I do doubt that it's an inordinate amount due to machine changes. The whole reason that game was invented is because we notice hands like that.

As I've done with others, if you really believe things aren't as they should be, I encourage you to document it properly, perhaps with the help of other players. That could be worth millions!

Of course, when I have suggested this to other people, they've always decided it's better to continue losing money on machines they feel are rigged instead of retiring comfortably with millions of dollars. Interesting.

What sort of documentation would it take? It wouldn't take you long to figure that out. But for millions of dollars I'm not going to do your homework for you. :lol: I'd gladly help out, except I feel it would be a complete waste of time and only show that the machines are as fair as we'd all hope them to be.

I never see advantage players coming up with these theories, and they have the most on the line if machines behaved in any way out of the ordinary. Interesting.
I suppose one method would be tallying the number of times dealt high pair offsuits happen (AQ,AJ,KJ, and KQ) in a game like DDB (yes you're only supposed to hold the Ace) and compare to the percentage probability would dictate (10%). I would consider myself an advantage player. I vulture various persistent state slots (GE,OM,JB,OS,WWZ,P&Z,S4D,OMG,ED,MM,AF,DL,Sb and Must Hits) and do a lot of UX multiplier (UX, UX bonus streak, and other derivatives I won't name here) hunting. I come out with more than I come in with most "sessions".

billryan
Video Poker Master
Posts: 4422
Joined: Thu Jan 15, 2009 1:20 pm

Post by billryan »

One game is five coins, the other is six. With the same coin in, the non QQ player will play nearly twenty percent more hands, which should result in about twenty percent more QQs.

onemoretry
Video Poker Master
Posts: 3034
Joined: Tue Mar 03, 2009 8:00 pm

Post by onemoretry »

asteroid wrote:
Tue Sep 10, 2019 8:51 am
According to this supposition, it is random, except .....
In my somewhat narrow view, random means random, and there can be no "excepts".

To be truly random, on the deal, and on the draw, and at each step, each and every eligible card must have an equal chance of being picked. Anything less than that is not truly random, and as near as I can understand, would not meet the requirements of most, if not all, gambling regulators.

Player422738
VP Veteran
Posts: 516
Joined: Thu Jul 26, 2018 7:05 pm

Post by Player422738 »

Not every state requires VP to be based on a random RNG. In those states, the probability of drawing an unseen card may not be random.

https://www.gamblingsites.org/casino/video-poker/legal/

asteroid
Senior Member
Posts: 191
Joined: Wed Dec 29, 2010 10:36 am

Post by asteroid »

onemoretry wrote:
Wed Sep 11, 2019 12:23 pm
asteroid wrote:
Tue Sep 10, 2019 8:51 am
According to this supposition, it is random, except .....
In my somewhat narrow view, random means random, and there can be no "excepts".

To be truly random, on the deal, and on the draw, and at each step, each and every eligible card must have an equal chance of being picked. Anything less than that is not truly random, and as near as I can understand, would not meet the requirements of most, if not all, gambling regulators.
Way to cherry pick.
onemoretry wrote:
Mon Sep 09, 2019 7:56 am
Admittedly, I haven't yet taken the time to read the links posted above
It is sampling without replacement, which is a random process.

asteroid
Senior Member
Posts: 191
Joined: Wed Dec 29, 2010 10:36 am

Post by asteroid »

onemoretry wrote:
Wed Sep 11, 2019 12:23 pm
asteroid wrote:
Tue Sep 10, 2019 8:51 am
According to this supposition, it is random, except .....
In my somewhat narrow view, random means random, and there can be no "excepts".

To be truly random, on the deal, and on the draw, and at each step, each and every eligible card must have an equal chance of being picked. Anything less than that is not truly random, and as near as I can understand, would not meet the requirements of most, if not all, gambling regulators.
Indian casinos are not subject to gambling regulators - I mentioned this explicitly in a previous post. I also mentioned it would be safer to play VP in a jurisdiction with a gaming control board like Nevada. In any case the process is random.

Post Reply