FloridaPhil wrote: ↑Sat Apr 11, 2020 11:25 am
45,000 points is nothing on a multi-line or a multiplier game. Try that on a single line 99.5% game and tell me how many times that will happen?
Well, you might know by now that I could tell you how many times that would happen if I wanted to take the time and make a few assumptions regarding the number of hands played. I realize that you would not be able to tell if I had actually done the calculation, so I won't waste any time on that. As to your point about multi-line games, let's examine:
A recent post shows 44,663 for your total. I'm sure it will change by the time you are reading this, but the point will likely remain the same. Subtracting the starting total of 10,000 credits shows
a profit of 34,663 on a game that allows play of full-pay deuces, a joker game that has an expectation of 101% and a double bonus game that has a 1/2% edge. Actually, it is not too hard to amass an excess if you want to play single hand for hours on end, playing games that have well defined strategies, whether or not you want to deviate from them occasionally.
I do not like to play single-line, so don't expect me to try to prove this when most can understand the theory that this will work without having to go through the experiment. This is not mysterious math here.
On the other hand, I amassed 166,068 credits on Wheel Poker with Quick Quads less 10,000 for a net gain of 156,068 on a mixture of 3-play and 5-play. The strategy details for this game are not as generally available as the regular single line games. I would not expect you to be able to determine the difficulty in attaining such a number, but it certainly is a comparable if not superior achievement to gaining 34,663 on a simple single-line game containing a house edge.
I actually have the top all-time daily score on that game (in 2012) and two more scores in the all-time top 10. I do notice that you are in today's top 10, currently at #4 on the game of your choice, but I seemed to miss your name when going through the monthly list or the all-time list.
Your accomplishment here is some solid work, but not quite at the astronomical level, now is it?
FloridaPhil wrote: ↑Sat Apr 11, 2020 11:25 am
There are a few possible explanations. I got very very luck, I am lying about my score or the game is rigged in my favor. You can check the score with Webman. While you are at it, ask him if his games are fair.
I do not doubt that you have 44,000, 45,000, or 47,000 credits. Since I can calculate odds and understand how credits work on this website, I'm simply not as impressed that this outcome is as large of an outlier as you are impressed with yourself. Webman has enough problems with trying to be patient with you rather than answering unnecessary questions from me.
FloridaPhil wrote: ↑Sat Apr 11, 2020 11:25 am
I started out playing 500 hands a day.
I'm winning, so I upped it to 1,000 hands and I won more. Am I now playing too many hands? You should make up your mind.
Do you hear dead people? Are voices telling you something and you are thinking that I said it? You can lie to me, but try not delude yourself. Maybe you can learn something about yourself in less than a year or 1000 posts.
I don't care how many hands you play. I was simply pointing out a problem that you have hinted at many times in the past. You cannot stand losing. This is a terrible quality in a gambler, particularly one who makes negative bets and likes to often stray from optimal decision-making. The following are your words not mine, posted on April 2, website time stamp at 10:09 am:
FloridaPhil wrote: ↑Thu Apr 02, 2020 10:09 am
In the simulation I am currently running myself,
I am using a 500 coin low limit. Once I reach that limit,
I stop playing for that day. This means the number of hands I play each day varies. If I don't hit a quad or better, like this morning, I don't play many hands. If I do, I continue to play. I may stop play when I reach 4,000 coins to lock in that day's score … I
never allow myself to lose more than 500 credits in any one day.
I added emphasis to your quotes to highlight what you are evidently missing. You stopped after a loss of 500 coins the first 4 times, from April 2 to April 5, but evidently you can not stand losing. You say your reason you violated your own rule is that you were winning. Actually you were on a losing streak. I can't believe you didn't realize it. And then after losing 500 the second time, you repeated the violation of your own rule after another losing session the next day. And that violation was after
6 consecutive losing sessions. And somehow your excuse is that you were winning? It is good for you that this is not money. It is no wonder you now are forced to bet small.
I'm not the one that has to make up my mind. If it were up to me, you would not need to post your sessions at all. I know how to simulate these results very quickly, with several simulations in a few seconds. I already posted earlier: 90% of the time you will lose 500 credits, the rest of the time you will win 4000 to 7990 credits with most of those wins concentrated around the lower limit. Actually, some of the time you will get too tired and not reach either a 4000-credit win or a 500-credit loss.
FloridaPhil wrote: ↑Sat Apr 11, 2020 11:25 am
No one can predict the future, not even Gronbog. Here's what I predict. As soon as the casinos open back up, everyone will start winning. It will be a bonanza for a while. After they suck you back in, the machines will go back to being unbeatable. Better get your licks in early because when they fall this time, your return will be worse than ever. Good Luck while it lasts.
Again with the voices? You have no idea how often I play, whether I win or lose, or what stakes I play. Actually, disagreeing with you is beneficial to gambling results most of the time; but I wouldn't expect you to understand that. Maybe this is ... Something (for you) to Think About.
Hey, stay well and wash your hands. This is not an optimal strategy that you should mess with avoiding at your age.