One of 16 = None of 100

Discuss the latest contests, contest strategies, and scores!
Post Reply
wcc2
Forum Rookie
Posts: 20
Joined: Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:44 pm

One of 16 = None of 100

Post by wcc2 »

Amazing round of weekly contest, 100-hand STP. One hundred deals. Zero super-times-pay multipliers. Count 'em: Zero. None. Nada.

Not the worst game I've had this week ('cuz I got three or four dealt flushes): that was last night, with less than 44,000.

But useful to be reminded that paying 20% extra to get a multiplier 6% of the time may mean, in the real world, that you never, ever see a multiplier, so that a winning round (56,165) turns into a losing round.

(Yes, I know, Webman: Somebody else doubtless got 12 STPs to make up for my zero. If it was real money, only the facts that I'm nonviolent and they probably don't allow sledgehammers in casinos would have kept things cool.)

Vman96
Video Poker Master
Posts: 3288
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:49 am

Post by Vman96 »

The odds of getting a multiplier is 1 in 15 actually. And 100 deals in a row without an STP multiplier happens more than some might think offhand.

It should happen (14/15)^100 = 0.001008504 = 1 in 991.57 rounds on average. Multiple people experience this in the contest daily.

Fortunately I have not noticed a 100-hand streak while playing in a casino. I start to get irked if it gets near 50. To be honest, I prefer Double STP, so playing regular STP often seems like mini-droughts to me.   

Post Reply