Understanding 95-99% games?

The lighter side... playing for entertainment, less concerned about "the math."
Jstark
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Re: Understanding 95-99% games?

Post by Jstark »

stevel96a1 wrote:
Sun Dec 08, 2019 4:02 pm
yes but which one is more likely to end a 100$ profit winner? if play a has 200$ BR and player b has 200$ BR and both players goals are to reach 1/3 of profit which one has the higher likelyhood?
98.9% (40 turns) or player b 97% (160 turns) that is a huge difference of turns.

is the same still not hard and clear? player a can easily go broke within 10minutes while player a continues the battle

again a computer animation of both scenarios playing out would give a average on who has the HIGHER chance of accomplishing the goal
You're best bet to leave a 100 dollar winner, is to bet the whole hundred at baccarat.

stevel96a1
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Post by stevel96a1 »

bet on the banker? what if player shows? and im out 100$ in a blink of an eye? heck even a 20$ bill comped played through a poker machine can yield higher return 1 hand at baccarat at 100$ no sir id rather stick with VP

Jstark
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Post by Jstark »

stevel96a1 wrote:
Sun Dec 08, 2019 8:08 pm
bet on the banker? what if player shows? and im out 100$ in a blink of an eye? heck even a 20$ bill comped played through a poker machine can yield higher return 1 hand at baccarat at 100$ no sir id rather stick with VP
With you're attitude, you'll never make it in the world of profitable gambling, i.e. AP.

Going back to your question though, throw the $100 in a $5 denomination game and hope for a fast flush or better.

stevel96a1
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Post by stevel96a1 »

Jstark wrote:
Sun Dec 08, 2019 11:02 pm
stevel96a1 wrote:
Sun Dec 08, 2019 8:08 pm
bet on the banker? what if player shows? and im out 100$ in a blink of an eye? heck even a 20$ bill comped played through a poker machine can yield higher return 1 hand at baccarat at 100$ no sir id rather stick with VP
With you're attitude, you'll never make it in the world of profitable gambling, i.e. AP.

Going back to your question though, throw the $100 in a $5 denomination game and hope for a fast flush or better.
my gambling log of past 7 weeks says alot different and not at all offended by your remark.
i just think or believe there is a better way to make gambling more profitable with such a short bankroll per trip. your obvious answer maybe right going with Occam's Razor is a line of reasoning that says the simplest answer is often correct, losing 5 less is better than losing more however in the world of video poker with an RNG controling my fate you maybe wrong

Jstark
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Post by Jstark »

7 weeks? That's irrelevant. Lifetime is the only stat that matters!

stevel96a1
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Post by stevel96a1 »

its 8 weeks now, if the comp system like this continues and the casino never shuts down, this can stretch out to 80,800, 8k weeks if it wants to, apparently people rather work a meaningless job oppose to make money, i know i hate my job and i would not dare to get this successful playing a table game or slot machine, video poker seems to be the best approach

FAA
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Post by FAA »

I love this exchange. You say 7 weeks is irrelevant. He comes back with...it’s 8 weeks now. LMAO!

Jstark
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Post by Jstark »

FAA wrote:
Sun Dec 22, 2019 6:52 pm
I love this exchange. You say 7 weeks is irrelevant. He comes back with...it’s 8 weeks now. LMAO!
If he's that confident, he should quit working and play that VP game full time.

stevel96a1
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Post by stevel96a1 »

Jstark wrote:
Sun Dec 22, 2019 7:11 pm
FAA wrote:
Sun Dec 22, 2019 6:52 pm
I love this exchange. You say 7 weeks is irrelevant. He comes back with...it’s 8 weeks now. LMAO!
If he's that confident, he should quit working and play that VP game full time.
Maybe i will maybe i won't Jstark, 10 weeks, 100 weeks 100k weeks, its all the same to me,i gamble for fun >=)

1 session rolls into 1001 sessions

i think even Gronbog would back me on that statement Fred Renzy said it doesn't matter your stop loss or win point all your sessions of games of chance roll into one, i believe he said they all "piggy back each other" and from my kitchen table testing it appears to be true, he also said 100 hands,1000 hands or 10k hands the math holds true on basic strategy and the edge over the game

Gronbog
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Post by Gronbog »

stevel96a1 wrote:
Mon Dec 23, 2019 11:49 am
i think even Gronbog would back me on that statement Fred Renzy said it doesn't matter your stop loss or win point all your sessions of games of chance roll into one, i believe he said they all "piggy back each other" and from my kitchen table testing it appears to be true
You're right, I do agree.
stevel96a1 wrote:
Mon Dec 23, 2019 11:49 am
, he [Renzy] also said 100 hands,1000 hands or 10k hands the math holds true on basic strategy and the edge over the game
I don't completely agree with this. 100 hands and 1000 hands are irrelevant. The variance at this point is just too much larger than the expect result. At 10k hands, depending on the game, you can start thinking this way.

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