The absurdity of mythical video poker "payback"

Discuss proper hold strategies and "advantage play" and ask questions about how to improve your play.
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pokerpokerpoker
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Re: The absurdity of mythical video poker "payback"

Post by pokerpokerpoker »

First 9/6 Triple Double is only 98.15%, not 99.58% like 9/7 Triple Double.

So playing that at $50 a whack, you would expect to lose (100%-98.15%) x $50 = $3.70 per round.

And let's say you play 400 rounds an hour, thats 400 x $3.70 = $1480 lost per hour

Let's say you play 20 hours a week that's
$1480 x 20 hours a week = $29,600 a week

Do that for six months straight, you should expect to lose:

26 weeks x $29,600 = $769,600 lost.

And that's just "expected loss" playing OPTIMALLY. Run badly you might be down a few million dollars after six months on a completely fair machine.

So if you, I mean your friend, played like this for months, unless they are as rich as Donald Trump, I suggest they get professional help.

Edit: You claimed you were actually playing 9/7 Triple Double Bonus, which has an optimal return of 99.58%. So in my example above, that means your "expected loss" playing OPTIMALLY after would be

(100%-99.58%) x $50 x 400 x 20 x 26 = $43,680

But again, if you run badly, your actual losses could be in the millions. And if you can't even quote 9/7 correctly, I'm not holding my breath on you correctly holding things like K85 suited. Errors can easily add up in 9/7 TDB.

Are you sure it is $3.70 avg loss per round? I thought it was more like 92cents per round.

Sea Lion
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Post by Sea Lion »


^^^ If you really believe these things, why the heck are you even playing! I ask myself that very same question everytime I go to play and then boom - 10 play!

FAA
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Post by FAA »

Never understood the allure of multi. Too much losing. Lots of bells and whistles. All expensive eye candy at the end of the day.

Tedlark
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Post by Tedlark »

My feelings exactly FAA. Well, err, almost....

FAA
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Post by FAA »

Care to elaborate?

billryan
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Post by billryan »

If you can find a multi play with the same pay table as a single line, I'll play ten play every time.

Tedlark
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Post by Tedlark »

Me too.

Carcounter
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Post by Carcounter »

Bellagio once had ten play 9/6 JOB for dollars. Great way to run big coin in with relatively low variance.

Jstark
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Post by Jstark »

One of my favorites was a rare 25 cent 9/6 JoB super times pay spin poker.

Casino Knight
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Post by Casino Knight »

Not a multi-game, but found a 9/7 TDB $5. game yesterday. The first I've seen in a Native Casino, and the only one in a bank of Multi-denoms. Will practice over the weekend and see what happens next week.

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